Pakistan Economic and Social Review - Lahore

PAKISTAN ECONOMIC and SOCIAL REVIEW

School of Economics, University of the Punjab, Lahore
ISSN (print): 1011-002X
ISSN (online): 2224-4174

UNEMPLOYMENT, POVERTY, INFLATION AND CRIME NEXUS: COINTEGRATION AND CAUSALITY ANALYSIS OF PAKISTAN

  • SYED YASIR MAHMOOD GILLANI/
  • HAFEEZ UR REHMAN/
  • ABID RASHEED GILL/
  • June 30, 2009
Abstract

This study is designed to investigate the relationship between crime and various economic indicators such as unemployment, poverty and inflation in Pakistan. The study covers the period for 1975-2007. The stationary properties of the time series data are examined by using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test. Johansen Maximum Likelihood Cointegration and Granger Causality tests are applied to find out long-run relationship along with causality among the variables. The findings of the tests provide evidence of the existence of long-run cointegration relationship among crime, unemployment, poverty and inflation. The Granger causality has been tested through Toda-Yamamoto procedure. The causality results show that crime is Granger caused by unemployment, poverty and inflation in Pakistan.

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Statistics

Author(s):

SYED YASIR MAHMOOD GILLANI

Deputy Director (P&D)

GC University, Lahore

Pakistan

HAFEEZ UR REHMAN

Professor/Chairman

Department of Economics at the University of the Punjab, Lahore

Pakistan

ABID RASHEED GILL

Lecturer in Economics

Islamia University, Bahawalpur

Pakistan

Details:

Type: Articles
Volume: 47
Issue: 1
Language: English
Id: 608922177a287
Pages 79 - 98
Published June 30, 2009

Statistics

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.