Pakistan Economic and Social Review - Lahore

PAKISTAN ECONOMIC and SOCIAL REVIEW

School of Economics, University of the Punjab, Lahore
ISSN (print): 1011-002X
ISSN (online): 2224-4174
Abstract

Public Sector Development Program (PSDP) spending in Pakistan has been debated in terms of its effectiveness in generating employment. This study aims to explore the relationship between PSDP spending and employment levels by examining its impact on sectoral employment generation. Using a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model, the study finds that the effectiveness of PSDP spending varies across sectors and time periods. The impact of PSDP spending on employment generation is only significant in the short run, with the strongest effects observed in the Water & Power Sector, Construction, and Health Sector. While PSDP spending has a direct impact on short-term employment creation, the role of private investment is also critical in maintaining its impact in the long run. The study suggests that PSDP spending has crowded-in private investment in a few sectors, but overall, there is minimal or no effect of PSDP spending on private investment. PSDP is not productive enough to generate significant employment in Pakistan.

Author(s):

Risk Management Officer at EXIM Bank of Pakistan

Pakistan

  • taimoor300719@gmail.com

Senior Research Economist at Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad

Pakistan

  • naseem@pide.org.pk

Details:

Type: Articles
Volume: 60
Issue: 2
Language: English
Id: 6401aeb8673d3
Pages 125 - 168
Discipline: Economics
Published December 31, 2022

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Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.