Pakistan Economic and Social Review - Lahore

PAKISTAN ECONOMIC and SOCIAL REVIEW

School of Economics, University of the Punjab, Lahore
ISSN (print): 1011-002X
ISSN (online): 2224-4174

DETERMINANTS OF UNEMPLOYMENT Empirical Evidences from Pakistan

  • MUHAMMAD SHAHID MAQBOOL/
  • TAHIR MAHMOOD/
  • ABDUL SATTAR/
  • December 31, 2013
Keywords
Unemployment, ARDL, Population, Gross domestic product, Foreign direct investment
Abstract

This study analyzes the determinants of unemployment in Pakistan over a period of 1976-2012 by examining the empirical relation-ship among the unemployment, population, foreign direct investment, gross domestic product, inflation, and external debt. It is hypothesized that these factors exert a strong impact on unemployment rate in the economy of Pakistan. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach has been applied to test determinants of unemployment. Empirical results reveal that gross domestic product, population, inflation, and foreign direct investment are significant determinants of unemployment in Pakistan in short-run as well as long-run. The CUSUM and CUSUMSQ are showing that the model is structurally stable within the 5% of critical bounds. The Phillips curve exists in Pakistan both in short- and long-run.

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Statistics

Author(s):

MUHAMMAD SHAHID MAQBOOL

Lecturer in Economics

Government Postgraduate College, Gojra

Pakistan

TAHIR MAHMOOD

Associate Professor of Economics

University of Veterinary and Animal Science, Lahore (Pakistan)

Pakistan

  • tahir.chaudary@gmail.com
  • +92-42-99211449 (Ext. 288)
  • website

ABDUL SATTAR

Assistant Professor of Economics

Department of Management Sciences, Shaheed Zulfikar Ali Bhutto Institute of Science and Technology, Islamabad

Pakistan

Details:

Type: Articles
Volume: 51
Issue: 2
Language: English
Id: 607dbc403de5c
Pages 191 - 208
Published December 31, 2013

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